Weekend Stats Pack: Relegation scrap to produce goals

Swansea v Huddersfield - Half Time Draw
@ 2.25 with Bet365
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Accrington v Rotherham - BTTS, yes
@ 1.62 with Bet365
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Charlton v Luton – Both Teams To Score (1.70)

Charlton and Luton were both in League One last season and there is still a chance that they may return from through the Championship relegation places. This is a huge game on the card this weekend and one where both would view three points as huge, and a defeat as very damaging to their survival prospects. It is one which should see action around each goal however, especially as both have seen 60.61% of their league matches this season feature both teams scoring. Neither are strong defensively, so may view attack as their best form of defence on an occasion such as this.

Swansea v Huddersfield – Half Time Draw (2.25)

Swansea risk their season petering out into insignificance unless they can turn around their disappointing run of form. The 4-4 draw at Hull City last time out probably typified them completely, but they’re now at a stage where they just need results. The Swans are winless in five, winning just twice in 11. Huddersfield are in the relegation scrap and every point is vital, so a draw at Derby last weekend was a good result for them. They’ve won just two in nine. A tight first-half is likely as no team has been drawing at the break more than Swansea in the Championship, whilst the Terriers are only four short of that number.

Accrington v Rotherham – Both Teams To Score (1.62)

Rotherham sit proudly at the top of the League One summit with only five games remaining for them, but they come up against a rejuvenate Accrington Stanley outfit on Saturday that is on a three-match winning streak. This is a game which promises so much, and it is one which we firmly expect to deliver in terms of both teams scoring. Both these two clubs are inside the top-seven on the League One BTTS tally table, and that fact alone suggests this should be an end-to-end encounter. Accrington have only failed to score in two home games, and Rotherham just the once away.

Shrewsbury v Doncaster – Doncaster Half Time (3.20)

Shrewsbury are a team in a bit of freefall at this moment in time. Salop are winless in eight overall, and won just one of their previous 14 in all competitions. This included an FA Cup run where they knocked out Bristol City and took Liverpool to a replay, and you just wonder if those exploits have been a distraction. Doncaster have been a little inconsistent of late, with their last eight seeing them win three, draw two and lost three. One constant factor about them this season however is their first-half record, which is strong. In fact, it’s the second-best in the league, whilst Shrewsbury’s is ranked 20th in this 23-team division. The sensible call on that evidence is to back Doncaster at decent odds to win the first-half.

Leyton Orient v Oldham – Both Teams To Score (1.85)

Most teams in League Two has played either 33 or 34 games this season, and in the case of Leyton Orient and Oldham they’ve played 34 each. Only five teams in the league has seen at least 20 of their matches contain both teams scoring, and both of these two teams very much fit into that category. Each are also joint-lowest in the division for the number of clean sheets they’ve kept, as well. Therefore, I’m quite happy to nominate this game for BTTS as my NAP of the weekend based on the statistics in the EFL. Both are in mid-table, so there shouldn’t really be any nerves on show, or lack of desire to try and win.

Northampton v Exeter – Exeter First Goal (2.28)

Spare a thought for Exeter City, who were minutes away from earning a trip to Wembley in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday night at Portsmouth, yet still managed to lose to their League One opponents. The one positive is that they made some changes, so freshness won’t be a real issue for this huge clash with Northampton. Another positive for the Grecians is that they’re generally quick out of the blocks, and no other team has scored the first goal in a game more than Exeter in League Two this season. 23 out of 33 times they’ve done so, and also 12 of their 17 away. Sure, a trip to Northampton is tough, but they’ll want to right the wrongs of Tuesday pretty quickly, plus the Cobblers have lost their last four in league and cup.


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