The Gunners head to Watford as they aim to reclaim their spot in the top four. But The Hornets have been a notoriously tricky opponent for the North London side.
Goals in the forecast
No side see’s more goal this season than Arsenal, their games have featured 3.28 on average per match. Watford aren’t far behind at an average of 2.94 and there has been 26 goals in their last six Premier League matches and a further five in The FA Cup semi-final against Wolves. Outside of the top six and Leicester, Watford have the lowest number of games played where they have failed to score, combine that with Arsenal having failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road this season and we’ve got a real spectacle on our hands. Both teams to score is priced at 1.44.
Over 2.5 goals is at 1.5 which is a solid selection; Watford know they can get at Arsenal and cause them problems, it’s something that skipper Troy Deeney has spoke of many times in the past. Watford’s physicality and desire will make them real contenders for this match. They’re priced at 3.3 to come out on top.
With the high likelihood for goals you may be looking to delve in to the goal scorer market. Aubameyang and Lacazette lead the pack at 2.1 and 2.25 anytime, respectively. Andre Gray and Troy Deeney are the shortest odds for a Watford, both at 8.0 first. My eyes are drawn to Gerard Deulofeu at 3.4 anytime. The Spaniard possesses an abundance of ability which he displayed brilliantly in the FA Cup semi-final. His potential to produce something out of nothing makes that price look like great value.
Home sick Gunners
Arsenal may be in good form and right in the battle for the top four but it’s their home form which has kept them motoring. Away from home they’ve won just five games this season and have a minus two goal difference which is stark contrast to their plus 27 at The Emirates; where they have won 14 of their 17 matches. Their troubles whilst travelling have persisted right the way through the season both domestically and in Europe. They lost to French mid table side Rennes and were embarrassingly beaten away at Bate Borisov. The North London outfit have won just once in their last eight away games which makes this a very difficult to game. Despite this poor run they’re still the favourites at a price of 2.1. I would air on the side of caution and perhaps take draw no bet at 1.57 so that the selection is void if Arsenal draw but wins as long as they win.
Alternatively you could take Arsenal or draw double chance at 1.3 so if the visitors get a win or draw the selection wins.
A tough test for both
As mentioned I think this game is incredibly hard to call. I’d be more inclined to bet on goals or specials for this one rather than an outcome. Perhaps a draw at 3.6 may actually be the best value for this game. I can see this contest being very open and end to end, I think we’ll see a lot of shots and a lot of action. I like the look of Deulofeu, Aubameyang and Ramsey all to have one or more shots on target at 5.5.
Both teams to score @ 1.44
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.5
Gerard Deulofeu to score anytime @ 3.4
Over 10 match corners @ 2.0