The race for top scorer is always a popular market, but can be a confusing one. With 11 matches gone already in Serie A, here’s a rundown of the top candidates to finish at the head of the standings by the end of the season.
Here is a player who has won the Capocannoniere (top scorer) award in Serie A on two previous occasions. Yet Ciro Immobile is somewhat of an enigma in the way that his form seems to run in cycles. His spells in both La Liga (at Sevilla) and Bundesliga (Borussia Dortmund) were abject failures and – after firing in 29 times for Lazio in 2017/18 – he only netted 15 times for the Biancocelesti last term.
His team also suffer from erratic form, and are yet to play both Juventus and Napoli this season. That said, Lazio have already run up large tallies versus Genoa (4-0), Atalanta (3-3) and Torino (4-0), meaning that Immobile has already bagged 13 goals in the current campaign. With odds reflecting this lightening fast start, this is a bet that is perhaps worth avoiding, especially with this player’s tendency for dry spells.
After arriving from Manchester United in the summer, Romelu Lukaku is loving life in Serie A with Inter. The forward was the target of intense criticism at Old Trafford, but it has become increasingly clear that his time there was simply a case of wrong place, wrong time for the player.
His relationship with Nerazzurri boss has blossomed since he moved to San Siro, and Lukaku is the first Inter player to score at least eight goals in the first 11 matches in a debut campaign for Inter since Ronaldo fired in nine in 11 during his opening season (1997/98).
“My rapport with Conte is very strong, as he is a Coach who really helps me,” the Belgian told DAZN. “At the age of 26, I want a Coach like this, who helps me every day and gives me motivation. I am very happy to be here and to be working with him.”
Nine goals in 10 league starts have already set Lukaku off on the path to become top scorer this season, and statistics reveal that he has achieved this figure by vastly improving his finishing accuracy, taking just 2.6 shots per game on average to reach this figure. He can only continue to improve as he adapts to life in a new league, and to back him to be the top scorer by the end of the campaign seems a sensible bet to make.
Currently, CR7 is a good way behind the rest, having fired in just five goals in his opening nine starts for Maurizio Sarri’s Juventus. However, at 13/2, the superstar represents a good player to back in the race to finish with the most goals in 2019/20.
Why? Firstly, Juve can only continue to improve as the Coach works to perfect his system. His elegant, passing game can only serve to feed his forwards with chances as it evolves. Secondly, the Portuguese international has often suffered from slow starts to the season, even dating back to his time at Real Madrid.
“We’ve changed with Sarri to improve,” admitted CR7 at a press conference before the Champions League match with Lokomotiv Moscow last month. “I have more freedom. We’ve changed a lot, we’re improving and there are still things to fix but I’m very happy. We did a great job with Allegri, but with Sarri we’ve improved. My position has changed a bit.”
After moving to ultra-attacking Atalanta, Colombian striker Luis Muriel has bagged eight goals in just four starts, sitting just one behind Lukaku in the standings. While most bookmakers have the explosive forward at 12/1, 888Sport are currently offering 25/1, a prospect worth investigating for the odds alone.
As his goals inevitably demand more playing time and, with Duvan Zapata injured, he could just explode enough to score the most goals in the Italian top flight this season. Well worth at least considering in the each way market given the price he is currently available at.