The last thing Real Madrid would want is another El Clasico after their 3-0 drubbing at the hands of Barcelona in the Copa del Rey in midweek.
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Saturday 2nd March, 19:45
Real Madrid performed poorly in midweek against Barcelona after they lost 3-0 in the Copa del Rey. Going by last week’s performance you’d find it difficult to see past Barcelona to win this match. Madrid will be looking to put this month behind them as they have lost two home matches against two different sides from Barcelona. Before this woeful week, Real Madrid were on a four game winning streak at home and will need to return to this form if they want to pick up a win against an in-form Barca side.
In the league Madrid are seven points behind league leaders Atletico Madrid and five points off of Barcelona. If they are to keep their title hopes alive they need to kick on and begin picking up wins again.
Santiago Solari’s side has been able to get amongst the goals at home this season. They’ve scored nineteen goals in twelve home matches which averages out to around 1.58 goals per game. However it hasn’t been Real Madrid’s goals scored which has been impressive this season. At the Bernabeu, Real Madrid have only conceded seven goals in twelve home league matches which averages to about 0.58 goals per game. However Real Madrid have conceded seven goals in the last five home matches, in all competitions.
A real source of goals in the league this season for Real Madrid has been the Frenchman Karim Benzema. He has picked up eleven goals in twenty-five games and has scored the most goals in the league this season for Madrid. He has picked up two goals in Real Madrid’s last five matches and could be key to getting a win against Barcelona.
It’s safe to say there is very little that makes Barcelona fans more happy than picking up a win against Real Madrid on their own patch. That is exactly what they did in midweek with a 3-0 win in the Copa del Rey and now they are looking to make it two wins in two at the Santiago Bernabeu. Barcelona have been in great form recently as they are unbeaten in their last nine matches.
They have continued this form into their away matches as they have not lost in five away matches, picking up three wins and two draws. Away from home in the season as a whole, Barcelona have shown they can dominate without the benefit of a home advantage. On average, the Calatan side have scored 2.17 goals per away game and conceded less than a goal per game (0.83).
In the league this season, Barcelona have only lost once away from home. Barca’s have been solid away from home as they have picked up a clean sheet in 42% of their away games this season. A key to their away success this season has been getting on the score sheet in their away matches. The Catalan side have only failed to score in one away match this season.
Barca’s goals have came from many sources around the side but predominantly, the ‘GOAT’, Lionel Messi who has picked up twenty-five goals this season. He has been in fine form recently as the Argentine has picked up four goals in his last five games.
Real Madrid will have a few of their players ruled out by suspension and injuries. The defender Nacho will be out of this match due to a suspension as he picked up two yellow cards in Real Madrid’s last match against Levante. Isco will also be a doubt for this match due to a back injury which has kept him out of the side for five matches.
Barcelona are missing Thomas Vermaelen through a calf injury and Rafinha who has been ruled out long term for Barcelona due to a knee injury.
The away side have been made 7/5 favourites to win the El Clasico at the weekend. Real Madrid have been given odds of 13/8 to win the match. I can’t see past the favourites for this one. They have shown they are capable of coming to their toughest opposition’s ground and dominating the game. Also there stats show that they don’t just come to outscore the other team but also stifle them from playing as they concede so few.
To add more value to a Barcelona bet you should consider the win to nil market as Barcelona get odds of 9/2 to win without Real Madrid getting on the score sheet. This is backed up by Barcelona’s recent 3-0 away win in midweek and the fact they concede so few on the road.
Another market to think about is the goalscorer markets. As Messi has been in scintillating form recently in front of goal it would be worth backing him to get on the score sheet in this one. For Lionel Messi to score anytime in this one you can get odds of 8/11.
Barcelona to win to nil (9/2)
Messi to score anytime (8/11)