Outright Betting: What more can Liverpool achieve?

Virgil van Dijk PFA Player of the Year
@ 12.0 with Betway
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Liverpool’s 2-0 win over Man Utd stretched their lead at the top of the Premier League to 16 points, with a game in hand, having won 21 of their 22 matches this season, drawing the other one at Old Trafford. Looking further back the Reds have actually taken 91 points from the last 93 available winning 30 of 31 games. It’s a phenomenal return and it’s worth highlighting some of the outrights and specials available.

Liverpool are 9/2 to win the Champions League and despite having reached the final in each of the last two years and home advantage seemingly playing a big part, it’s difficult to argue there’s value at the moment given there’s still Man City, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern Munich, Juventus and Real Madrid in the competition. Jurgen Klopp’s men are 4/1 to win the FA Cup, and with a manageable tie for the kids against Shrewsbury on Sunday, this could be an attractive price as perhaps going deeper in the competition will mean he fields stronger sides. If you think the Reds may turn their focus towards both competitions there is 25/1 available to win the two cups.

There is 9/2 about on Liverpool to go unbeaten which may tempt given they will be odds on to win every remaining game except for Manchester City away at the start of April. City will probably be around 8/11 – 4/5, meaning Liverpool would only be 6/5 – 11/10 to avoid defeat. It’s 50/1 they win every remaining game! Throw in winning the Champions League to going unbeaten and you can get 20/1. Add an FA Cup on top of both of those boosts the odds to 100/1.

In terms of points, you can back Liverpool to reach 105+ at 9/2. With 16 games left, the maximum they could accrue by winning every match would be 112 points. Let’s say they lost to City, they could still afford two draws and win the rest to reach this target (e.g. 13 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat).

Looking at the PFA Player of the Year market, three Liverpool players head the market. Sadio Mane is favourite at 11/10, Trent Alexander-Arnold at 10/1 and Virgil van Dijk at 12/1. Alexander-Arnold is nailed on for the Young Player of the Year with bookies quoting odds as short as 1/10. It’s no surprise, given that since the start of last season, he has more Premier League assists than any other player (21). I mentioned it back in November that van Dijk was value at 20/1 and I still think 12/1 is worth a bet to retain it. The Liverpool front three are rightly praised as arguably the best in Europe but they aren’t scoring as many as last season, and coincidentally van Dijk is the next top scorer, and his importance was once again noticeable opening the scoring on Sunday. He’s scored eight league goals for Liverpool since joining in January 2018 – the most of any Premier League centre-back in that time. In defence where he is a colossus, Liverpool have kept seven consecutive Premier League clean sheets, meaning they have conceded just 14 goals in 22 games. It’s not unheard of for players to win the award again with five players having previously won it twice.


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