These two sit side by side in the league table, separated by just two points. Both will be confident after recent results, but who has the edge in this tight contest?
Over their last eight Premier League games, Burnley have won five and drawn three. This includes Saturdays superb home win against Tottenham, a strong 3-1 away win at Brighton the week prior and their heroic display away at Manchester United at the end of January that was so nearly a famous win.
Only two sides have taken more points that Burnley over this eight game period and that is the two Manchester clubs. Tuesday’s visitors are on a better current run than league leaders Liverpool and this has been perfect timing as it has now dragged them six points clear of the relegation places. They have also won twice on the road in their purple patch and it looks as if they’ve conquered some of their issues away from home. They have tripled their tally of wins away from home since the turn of the year and will travel to Newcastle in high spirits. Burnley will be combative and competitive in search of a result, you can back them at 3.75 to win, draw no bet has excellent value at 2.75 as well.
Enough about how good Burnley have been. Newcastle deserve their credit too, a real upturn in results has put them four points clear of the relegation zone. They’ve won their last three at home and have scored at least two in each of those victories. The Magpies were utterly dominant against Huddersfield on Saturday, Tommy Smith’s red card after just 20 minutes gave the visitors an uphill battle but Newcastle didn’t relent. Rafa Benitez’s men attempted almost 30 shots on goal, with 12 on target. They were free flowing and dangerous in attack, Rondon and Perez scored the goals but it was two men in midfield that really caught the eye.
New signing Miguel Almiron took centre stage, his pace, direct running and sheer energy was a sight to behold and he has endeared himself very quickly to the Newcastle faithful. He is expected to start again from the left hand side against Burnley. Full of confidence and roared on by the fans, we could see another stellar performance from the South American. He’s priced at 4.5 to score his first Newcastle goal at anytime in the match, or you can back him at 10.0 to open the scoring.
Almiron may have caught the eye, but it’s a local lad who continues to capture the hearts in the North East. Sean Longstaff put in another excellent 90 minutes in the heart of midfield, he displayed yet more tenacity and desire as well as an extensive passing range which constantly allowed Newcastle to stay on the front foot. These emerging talents and recent strength at home will give the hosts confidence in getting another good result, they’re the favourites for this clash at a price of 2.1.
Despite their recent form, only Huddersfield have scored less Premier League goals than Newcastle this season. Burnley are far from solid defensively, but with both sides heading in to this in good form it is likely to be highly competitive and very tight. Factor in Burnley’s overall poor away record with Newcastle’s lack of goals and this game looks likely to end even. There have been under 2.5 goals in Newcastle’s last three games, which makes a draw look even more likely. The draw is priced at 3.25, you could back the score to be 1-1 at 6.0.
Under 3.5 goals @ 1.17
Draw @ 3.25
Handicap draw +1 @ 5.5