With just two matches remaining in Serie A, second placed Napoli host third placed Inter Milan. Napoli’s season has been all but over for week’s following their defeat at the hands of Arsenal in the Europa League quarter finals. They’ve been cemented in second place since very early on this season, neither troubling Juventus for the title, or being troubled for second spot by the likes of Inter, Atalanta and Roma.
Napoli’s form of recent has been fairly sporadic, they are currently on a three-match winning streak, but prior to that 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last four. After a really disappointing performance as they slipped out of the Europa League to Arsenal, they’ve really looked to kick on and finish the season in style. It’s not all doom and gloom for Napoli, finishing second to a dominant Juventus side is still a successful season and if Carlo Ancelotti is to stay another season, it’s a good building block.
Inter Milan on the other hand, haven’t really lit the league on fire this season. Mauro Icardi hasn’t been able to recreate his incredible form from last season due to a lot of injuries and they’ve struggled to find goals in general. It’s their defensive efforts which have got them where they are, with the likes of Stefan De Vrij, Milan Skriniar & Miranda providing some much-needed rigidity at the back.
Inter still have to confirm their place in the Champions League next season, as they sit 3rd in the table, just four points clear of city rivals AC Milan occupying 5th. A lot of results have gone Inter’s way recently, with AC Milan, Roma and Lazio all struggling to find form in the run-in of the season. They know that three points away to Napoli or in their final match vs relegation strugglers Empoli, will guarantee them Champions League football next season.
Napoli boss Carlo Ancelotti will be buoyed as he has the ability to call upon attacking pair Dries Mertens and Lorenzo Insigne for Sunday’s top four clash. Both missed the 2-1 victory over Spal last time out and will be hoping to hit the ground running on their return.
Unfortunately, Napoli will still be without long-term side-lined Amadou Diawara, Vlad Chiriches and Nikola Maksimovic. Another piece of bad news comes in the form of Adam Ounas missing out yet again through injury.
Inter haven’t got any fresh injuries and will look to name the same squad that beat Chievo 2-0 on Monday night. A result which doesn’t reflect the true story of the match, as Inter dominated start to finish and could have won 4/5-0.
Luciano Spaletti has a few issues on the injury front, as Stefan de Vrij is a doubt and Matteo Politano is unlikely to travel with the matchday squad. Sime Vrsaljko is still sidelined as he has been since the beginning of January. However the Italian is able to call upon both Marcelo Brozovic and Danilo D’Ambrosio after both return from serving suspensions.
With Inter Milan having so much left to play for, I think they’ll come to the San Paolo Stadium full of confidence and looking to secure their Champions League spot with no drama. You can get them to win the match @ 2.75, with the safer Double Chance @ 1.57.
I think that goals could be a great bet come Sunday as Napoli have been well amongst the goals recently, averaging 3.3 goals per match in their last ten. You can get Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 and Both Teams to Score @ 1.57, with both looking like good value.
From a goal-scorer perspective, I think that both Mauro Icardi @ 2.10 and Dries Mertens @ 2.40 hold value as both will be looking to bounce back from injury and finish the season on a high.
Inter Double Chance @ 1.57
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72
Mauro Icardi to score anytime @ 2.10