Canadian and Eastern Conference side Montreal Impact host FC Dallas this weekend and they are currently enduring a terrible run of form. The Impact have lost six out of their last seven games and they are leaking goals, conceding a shocking nine across their last two games against the Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire. Montreal are occupying a play-off spot as it stands as they sit in 6th, however, if this dreadful form continues, there is only one direction that they are going.
FC Dallas are also in shaky and unpredictable form; the Texan side haven’t strung two successive victories together since April. It looked as if fortunes were about to change for Dallas as they secured a 5-3 win over Minnesota United last weekend, however, they went on to lose 2-0 against the LA Galaxy during the week. Dallas currently sit 8th in the Western Conference, just outside of the play-offs. If they feel like they can have a run into the post-season this year, then their form needed to improve, and it has to right now.
It is Dallas who has dominated the head-to-head between these two franchises in recent years, winning four of the last five meetings. The most recent was a 2-0 win back in June 2018 thanks to an own goal followed by a converted penalty from Mauro Diaz. This will be the first meeting between the two since then.
The hosts will be without both Daniel Kinumbe and Victor Cabrera who remained side-lined with injuries. The Impact currently have no further injury worrries.
FC Dallas will most likely miss Zdenek Ondrasek who has suffered a lower body strain and is listed as a doubt ahead of their trip to Montreal. They could also be without Thomas Roberts who is also a doubt with a quad problem.
I think the value lays with backing against goals in this fixture, and I like under 2.5 goals at 2.05. I believe it will be a cagey affair with neither side wanting to lose this one. They both sit in precarious positions within their respective conferences, and due to their post-season aspirations, neither side can really afford to suffer continued defeats. Dallas have failed to score in four of their last five matches on the road, this is another stat that points towards a dull encounter on the horizon.
Dallas are having no joy away from home, they have lost seven of their last nine away trips. I would be backing Montreal Impact to come away with the points. Their home form isn’t anything to shout about at this moment in time, but it’s Dallas who have to make the long trip, and in fairness, Montreal did beat Eastern Conference leaders Philadelphia Union in their last MLS fixture at home.
The combination, Montreal Impact to win with their being under 2.5 goals in the match looks good to me at 5.0. It represents value but I would be keeping stakes small on that bet as a lot of the time, anything can happen in this league.