Monday Racing Tips – 01/4/19

It might be April fools day but fingers crossed we are the ones having the last laugh this afternoon as have highlighted four strong selections from across the cards that we hope to get the week off to a flying start!

Chelmsford 4:45 – Greyzee, 7/4

Trainer Rod Millman is a very shrewd operator and certainly knows when he has a well handicapped horse on his hands and this looks to be the case with GREYZEE who should take the beating in the ten furlong handicap at 4:45pm.

The unexposed three year old opened his account at Kempton last time out when taking advantage of a favourable handicap mark of just 53 to score in a really quick time. Though raised 6lbs for that victory it is hard to imagine a mark of 59 is the ceiling of his ability and looked very much a horse to follow.

The booking of champion jockey Silvestre De Sousa catches the eye, they don’t team up together often but when they do it is always worth noting and is a clear sign on intent from the Millman team.

Andrew Baldings Agent Basterfield could be the danger and looks well treated at the current time but it is GREYZEE we expect to take the beating and looks a decent bet at the prices.

Chelmsford 3:40 – Simoon, 11/4

Andrew Balding has his string in fine form once again with 7 winners in the last fortnight alone and looks to have leading claims with SIMOON at Chelmsford this afternoon.

The five year old started his career with Balding before being transferred to the Ed Walker stable where ran some big races in defeats, and the change of scenery might be just what the doctor ordered as looks well handicapped from a mark of 77 at the current time.

It could be significant that Balding has decided to drop back to a mile and would expect that to bring improvement as shows alot of early speed and looks well drawn in stall two so fingers crossed jockey Oisin Murphy can bounce him out and have him handy throughout. This looks like it could be ran at a strong gallop which would be ideal and with the blinkers applied would expect to see him producing all his best work at the business end of proceedings.

The main danger looks to be the Derek Shaw trained Harbour Vision who is a course and distance winner and in good form at the current time, but it is SIMOON that we expect to score and gets the vote in this competitive handicap

Ludlow 3:20 – Snapdragon Fire, 11/4

Ludlow stages another high class midweek card and the best bet at the meeting looks to come up in the two mile handicap hurdle at 3:20pm where we like the look of the Tom Lacey trained SNAPDRAGON FIRE who should take the beating for champion jockey Richard Johnson.

Lacey is a really talented trainer and doesn’t send runners to the track for a day out, as his current strike rate of 25% would suggest. The six year old looks to be in the form of his life at the current time, and scored in really good style over course and distance last time out when beating Bucks Bins by ten lengths. This was backed up by the winning figure on the clock that suggested it was a career best effort and looks a clever bit of placing by the trainer to come back to the track he clearly acts very well at.

A mark of 132 doesn’t look too harsh considering he was only beaten a length by Our Merlin at Wincanton, a form line that is working out really well and with conditions ideal this afternoon should take the beating.

Newcastle 5:45 – Lucky Deal, EVENS

Mark Johnston has hit the ground running this flat season and looks to have another leading chance with the four year old LUCKY DEAL at Newcastle this evening who should prove hard to pass.

Though just the five runners it does look a tricky affair, but the improving type was really well backed to score at Chelmsford towards the end of last month which visually looked a career best effort. This was backed up by the figures on the clock as clocked a group class winning time and therefore should prove well handicapped still from a mark of 96.

Jockey Joe Fanning clearly knows the horse really well and gets a good tune out of him so would expect to see him stalking the leaders before looking to kick on down the long Newcastle home stretch. He really does look a top staying prospect and though the likes of Busy Street have been in good form and go well at the venue, it’s hard not to side with Lucky Deal who hasn’t reached the ceiling of his ability yet and should score here before moving on to bigger and better things at the summer festivals.