The MLS Cup final on Sunday evening will be contested between Seattle Sounders and Toronto FC to the surprise of many. Seattle trumped LAFC, the best side in MLS this season, in the semi-finals. And Toronto edged out reigning champions Atlanta United. Both of this weekend’s finalists achieved their feats away from home and it is quite remarkable that they are in the position they are.
There has been an underwhelming feeling amongst many MLS fans as this is going to be the third Seattle/Toronto final in the space of four years, so it would have been refreshing to see a clash between Atlanta United and LAFC. However, these two sides are in the final on merit so it would be unfair to complain about it.
Many of the disappointment comes down to the fact that the last two finals between Seattle and Toronto have been tedious spectacles to say the least. The first ended 0-0 with the Sounders winning the cup on penalties, and in the following year, Toronto got their revenge by earning a comfortable 2-0 win at BMO Field. The saving grace is that this year’s final will be contested at CenturyLink Field which will at least provide us with a different feel and an incredible atmosphere in front of a sold-out crowd.
Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score looks like an excellent bet at even money. Both sides have had decent goal averages through 2019 with Toronto having the highest average in the Eastern Conference with 3.21, and Seattle averaged just under three goals a game with 2.97.
The results from both Seattle and Toronto through the playoffs suggest that this selection is without doubt a good bet. Seattle’s first game against Dallas ended 3-3 after normal time. They then beat Real Salt Lake 2-0 before picking up an incredible 3-1 win at LAFC. That’s 2/3 of their post-season matches seeing both teams score with over 2.5 goals. This selection has also won in two of Toronto’s three play-off matches. First, they drew 1-1 with DC United before firing in four goals in extra time to win 5-1. They then followed that up with 2-1 away wins over both New York City FC and Atlanta United.
The last two meetings between Seattle and Toronto has seen both teams score with over 2.5 goals in the match. They last met in a match at CenturyLink Field – This weekend’s venue – back in April in a match which finished 3-2 to the hosts. I think we will be in for a similar scoreline in the big one on Sunday evening.
Picking out some increased value for the final, I’m really liking the look of Paddy Power’s correct score combination market. Sticking with the theme of both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, I think there’s some good value in covering 2-1, 3-1 and 4-1.