Both teams have had it tough of late, with Marseille and Bordeaux losing their last two matches. The only bright side for both teams is that they can move up the table with a win in this one.
Marseille v Bordeaux
Tuesday 5th February. 18:00
Marseille’s miserable form could see them fall down Ligue 1
There is potential for Marseille to be leapfrogged in the league on Tuesday. Marseille currently sit in 10th position in Ligue 1, however Bordeaux are three points behind them in 12th place. By the end of the night, Bordeaux can move above them on goal difference. At the same time, a win for Marseille would see them rise to 7th in the table.
These are very much hypothetical conclusions, as a view of Marseille’s recent form in the league at home in particular, shows gaining a win in this tie would be easier said than done. Marseille have only one win in six matches. In that period they have been humbled in the cup by French minnows Andrezieux in the Coupe de France, who defeated Rudi Garcia’s men 2-0, they also dropped points in a draw with relegation battlers Monaco and lost in their derby match with St Etienne. At home, form does not get much better. Marseille haven’t experienced victory on home turf since November. In the last six home matches, Marseille have scored little over one goal per game (1.00). This makes bleak reading as coupled with their clean sheets stats of only two in six home games, shows that a lack of goals and clear defensive vulnerabilities at home could bring about Marseille’s downfall at the end of this season.
A stat which may give Garcia’s men hope in this one, is the fact that only 18% of their games this season have ended with his side failing to score. At home this rises slightly to 20% but his side’s ability to get goals may prove valuable in this match against a Bordeaux side who have found away matches difficult of late. In this match, things may not begin to hot up until the 2nd half on Tuesday. Marseille have scored twenty goals this season in the second half, whereas in the first halves of their Ligue 1 matches they have scored only fourteen in twenty-two matches. Adversely, the Southern French side have shipped twenty-one goals in the second halves of their games and conceded eleven, in the first halves of their games.
Having exited both cups, finishing as high as possible is the only real prospect for the Girondins.
Similar to Marseille, Bordeaux can see themselves rise up the table with a win on Tuesday. In the last six away matches, Bordeaux have went through a dip in form, the side have lost three away matches and won the other three games. However they have lost the last two away games in a row. Having exited the Coupe de la Ligue and Coupe de France domestically and been knocked out of the Europa League all attentions turn to the league.
Goals have been at a premium for Bedouet’s men whilst on the road, as Bordeaux have scored less than a goal per game (0.70) when playing away. In addition to their lack of goals scored, Bordeaux shown they have struggled to keep them out as well. They have conceded on average little over a goal per game (1.10). Bordeaux’s shortcomings in the league have come from their away form as at home they have won five home games out of eleven but away from home they have lost five out of ten away matches. A lack of goals have had a detrimental effect on Bordeaux’s away form as the side have failed to score in 60% of their away matches this season leading to five defeats, and have achieved a clean sheet in only 20% of their away games.
Both teams will be without key attacking options
Marseille’s scoring record at home may be hampered somewhat, with the absence of attacking midfielder; Dimitri Payet. They’ve missed the French playmaker, for their last two matches due to a knee injury. Payet has supplied four goals to the Marseille cause this season and laid on five assists in nineteen matches.
In similar circumstances, Bordeaux will be without attacker Nicolas de Preville due to a knee injury although he has been absent for Bordeaux in the last two matches.
There is not a lot separating the two teams
The bookies see Marseille as the favourites going into this one, as they have priced the home side at Evens compared to Bordeaux’s 11/4 price to win the match. Although Marseille have only produced one win in their last six home matches, Marseille have enjoyed playing on home soil overall this season as they have won five and only lost twice in the league all season. In comparison to Bordeaux’s away form over the season as a whole, the home side would come out on top as it seems the away side’s poor away form has been a feature all season with only two wins when on the road.
However losing Payet to injury may prove to be a huge blow to Marseille, as his absence in the last two games has seen his side lose and only score one goal in each game. This trend is continued in the St Etienne match where his side lost 2-1 whilst he was left on the bench by Garcia. His side also lost 4-0 to Eintracht Frankfurt where he was missing through injury. This may cause a bet where Marseille are winners difficult to produce a winner, more value could be found in the both teams to score market which is priced at 4/5 odds.
A valuable avenue to explore in the game is the over 0.5 goals in the second half market. As previously stated, Marseille often leave their business late in games, scoring many of their goals and conceding a plethora of goals in the second half. This trend continues with Bordeaux as they have been involved in twenty-eight goals in the second halves of their games, with Bordeaux scoring fifteen of those goals after the break. This gives credence to a same game multi bet of over 0.5 goals for both the home team and the away team in the second half, you can get prices for this of around 2/1.
Both teams to score – (4/5)
(Same Game Multi Bet) Over 0.5 Goals for Home side in 2nd Half (8/13), Over 0.5 Goals for Away side in 2nd Half – Total (2.45/1)