The Bundesliga fixtures get underway on Friday evening this week as Mainz prepare to take on RB Leipzig in a match which isn’t that big of a deal for either side when you consider their league positions, although technically, Leipzig aren’t out of the title reckoning. Mainz are on a poor run of form but are fortunate enough to be well away from the drop which they should probably be thankful for as they face Leipzig next who have already secured their place in next season’s Champions League and have won their last six league games in succession, whilst being unbeaten since January.
Mainz head into this game on the back of a disappointing 1-0 defeat against Hannover 96 who are all but relegated and had lost nine of their previous ten games. Leipzig on the other hand are in formidable form both in the league and cup. The visitors still have a chance of winning the title this season, albeit very slim, but it might be a motivating factor in order for them to turn on the style at Opel Arena.
Looking at the previous five meetings between the sides, goals seem very likely on Friday night. All five fixtures saw over 2.5 goals with four of them seeing both teams score. Four of the meetings also saw over 3.5 goals with a couple of them even seeing five goals.
The last meeting between the two came in December as Leipzig ran out 4-1 winners at home, thanks to goals from Yussuf Poulsen and Timo Werner.
The home side don’t have many injury concerns going into Friday’s fixtures as it’s just Phillip Mwene who misses out through injury. It’s a different story for the visitors, however, who have a handful of players who are injury doubts ahead of the meeting. American Tyler Adams is listed as doubtful with a groin injury, as is Yvon Mvogo with a knee problem. Emile Smith Rowe and Dayot Upamecano are also doubts with groin and knee injuries respectively.
It’s looking like bad news for Mainz as Yussuf Poulsen and Timo Werner are expected to start for Leipzig, after they both scored braces and gave Mainz a torrid time last time they met.
This is a fixture that should come with a guarantee of goals when you sit and look at their previous meetings. Both teams to score is priced at 1.53 and seems likely to happen having come in during four of their previous five meetings, Mainz happened to keep the only clean sheet between the two. Over 3.5 goals at 2.45 looks like the best value bet as that has also been produced in four of their last five head to head.
Of course, RB Leipzig look the most likely winners (1.70) as their recent form speaks for itself, and impressively, they are currently on a run of winning seven away games on the bounce. They have only lost once in 2019 in a game against Borussia Dortmund who sit above them in the league. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Leipzig continue this rich vein of form and not see another Bundesliga defeat this season. It’s very unlikely that they will come close to challenging for the title from this point, but they may as well give it a shot.
RB Leipzig win @ 1.70
Both teams to score @ 1.53
Over 3.5 goals @ 2.45