French Ligue 1 Betting: Bookies continue to underestimate Nice for goals

PSG vs Strasbourg – PSG -1 Handicap @ 1.66

I included PSG in my best bets for the last game week for the first time and the prediction landed with ease. As I’ve said, it’s often tough to find value in backing the Parisians. However, with some injury issues their odds are looking more handsome than usual and the reality is, even their back up side is streets ahead of much of the league; including Strasbourg.

PSG dominated against Metz in a comfortable 2-0 win. Eric Choupo-Moting got his third goal in the absence of Cavani and Mbappe and is showing his value to the club. Strasbourg are still without a win after coming from behind twice to draw 2-2 with Monaco. They looked jaded after a long Europa League campaign and it’ll be a huge ask for them to be back firing on all cylinders for this trip to the Parc Des Princes.

Amiens vs Lyon – Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90

Lyon have hit a bit of trouble recently. After their explosive start to the season they’ve now taken just one point from their last two having lost away to Montpellier and then drawn with Bordeaux last time out. Poor discipline cost them again as they received another red card. In their current form I can’t back them to get a result, but I do fancy goals to flow.

Despite their recent issues, no team has outscored Lyon this season. Their attack is the best in the league on paper after a fully fit PSG. They face an Amiens side who’ve conceded the most goals in the league bar Nimes and Dijon. They’ve also managed to find the net in both of their home games so far and I fancy them to cause some problems against a vulnerable Lyon defence.

Brest vs Rennes – Rennes draw no bet @ 1.61

Rennes perfect run came to an end after four matches as they surrendered a 1-0 lead late on to Patrick Viera’s Nice. A 92nd minute goal from Racine Coly inflicted Rennes first defeat in harsh circumstances. They had a goal disallowed just after half time and several chances to kill the game off. Despite he result, yet again they were impressive. Eduardo Camavinga is really becoming the driving force of this team and in attack they’re beginning to gel more and more with every match. I think they have more than enough in the tank to bounce back here and 1.61 with the safety net of draw no bet is a great price especially given that Rennes have won both their away matches.

Brest were unbeaten until their last match before the international break, also. They came unstuck against Nimes in a dreadful performance. They were turned over 3-0 and it could’ve been much worse for the Ligue 1 newbies. I think their early season luck has worn off and they’re about to enter a really tough patch, I struggle to see them causing Rennes too many issues.

Monaco vs Marseille – Both teams to score @ 1.66

Marseille look to have corrected their early season worries with two superb back to back results. A win away at Nice was followed up by a home win against Saint Etienne; two of the league’s stronger sides dispatched simultaneously. This will give Villas-Boas and his men supreme confidence ahead of this clash against a Monaco side without a win. Dario Benedetto is off the mark and has bagged in both those wins, he’ll be a real threat again here.

Monaco’s last two games have finished 2-2 as they look to put right their horrific start to this campaign. They’ve got no shortage of attacking flair, they had Keita Balde and Henry Onyekuru on the bench on Sunday with the likes of Ben Yedder, Gelson Martins and Islam Slimani all out on the pitch. It’s the latter who has been the star of late, he’s got three goals in his last two and will be hungry to keep that run going.

Montpellier vs Nice – Both teams to score @ 2.1

Nice were priced out at 2.2 for both teams to score in their game against Rennes. I think there’s been some mistake in the pricing of their goal markets so far this season. The bookies are hung up on last season when they averaged under two goals per game for both teams combined but this is a new Nice side. Only Monaco, Nimes and Angers and seen more goals on average this season and that’s more down to heavy defeats that a couple of them have taken. Both teams have scored in every Nice game so far with each one finishing 2-1. They’ve improved immensely going forward but loo fragile at the back.

For me the only top quality defender they have is Dante, if a team can bypass him then Nice are in trouble. Montpellier have been rather hard done by so far this season, it’s not quite come together for them so far. However they still have the players to do damage to this leaky Nice defence.


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