It is fourteenth vs fifteenth in the La Liga on Monday night. Both sides are pretty evenly matched and will be looking to move further away from the relegation zone.
Leganes v Levante
Monday 4th March, 20:00
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
The home side in this match have been in great form recently as they have only picked up one loss in in their last five matches in all competitions. Mauricio Pellegrino’s side has shown even better form when playing at home recently. Leganes have not lost at home in the league since September against Villarreal.
Leganes find themselves in mid table in La Liga, this is due to the Madrid side’s incredible home form. In twelve home matches, Leganes have only failed to score once, and won five out of twelve matches drawing six. A drawback to their performances both home and away has been their inability to keep goals out. They have only picked up four clean sheets in twelve home games and six over their twenty-five matches home and away in the league this season.
In terms of stats, Leganes have been able to reduce sides to scoring less than a goal per game 0.83. At the same time the home side have picked up 1.33 goals per game. This explains Leganes’ strong home form. However there is a reason for Leganes being stuck in mid table this season. Their goal stats reverse themselves when they play away. They concede on average 1.62 goals per away game and score on average 0.77 goals per game.
The away side are going into this tough home game after only picking up one win in ten away matches. Although last time out they picked up a shock away win against Celta Vigo, Paco Lopez’s side will find it tough against Leganes as they have only picked up fifteen points from a possible thirty-nine from thirteen away matches.
The main reason for Levante’s poor away form has been their inability to keep goals out. On average Levante concede 1.69 goals per away game but only score 1.46 goals per game. Levante have only picked up a clean sheet in two away matches in the league this season. However the away side have only failed to score in four of their thirteen away games.
Both Leganes and Levante will have players missing for this match through suspension. The striker Youssef En Nesyri will miss the match after picking up too many yellow cards. At the same time Ruben Rochina will miss this clash with Leganes after picking up a red card in Levante’s last match against Real Madrid.
Leganes won’t have Szymanowski, Munoz and Aviles due to them suffering long term injuries. Levante will be without Cheick Doucoure after he picked up a knee injury against Real Madrid.
Leganes go into this match as 5/6 favourites. Levante have odds of 10/3 to get the win. I seem to agree with the bookies on this one, Leganes seem strong enough at home to handle Levante as their recent form has shown.
In order to add more value to the Leganes win, you should think about considering bets on the both teams to score market. For both teams to score, you can get odds of 10/11. If you add a home win to this bet you can get odds of 10/3.
I believe that their will be goals from both sides in this match as their stats show they have what it takes to get on the score sheet. I forecast goals in this match so I would consider placing bets on the over/under market. For there to be over 2.5 goals in the game you can get odds of 6/5.
Leganes to win (5/6)
Leganes to win and both teams to score (10/3)