This is the third outing for both of these Group C sides, with the hosts Germany in second position on six points and a positive goal difference having won their two opening matches, and the visitors in fourth place following successive losses, conceding four goals and bagging just once themselves in that time. This is an important matchup for both sides and Estonia will be determined to avoid finishing in last behind Belarus, whilst the Germans are playing catch up with Northern Ireland three points ahead of them in first. Everything is set up perfectly for an entertaining football match.
This being the first time the pair have ever faced one another in competitive football means that neither side will absolutely know what to expect from the other. Germany are the obvious heavy favourites to come away with all three points from this one due to the undeniable quality and depth within the camp, however Estonia have their own goals to achieve and will be full of belief that they can be the ones to take down a giant and ruin their opponent’s chances of making it to next year’s tournament.
After defeat in France in October left a sour taste in the mouths of many Germans, the national side appears to have gotten their act together again, not suffering defeat in any of the five games they’ve played since. A 3-0 thrashing of World Cup hosts Russia in a friendly was succeeded by two stalemates on the trot, one versus Netherlands and the latter on home soil when welcoming Serbia, scoring three times when combining the two games. Upon their trip to the Netherlands in the first group match,, Germany beat their rivals and opposing side by three goals to two thanks to strikes from Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry and Nico Schulz, the winner arriving in the final minute of the affair. Joachim Low will need to ensure that his new, vibrant squad of younger players keep their feet on the ground despite the expectancy of a high-scoring seeing off of Estonia.
The visitors have played five matches since January, three of which were friendlies. In spite of being underdogs, they can take confidence from an impressive away victory against Uefa Nations League Group C table toppers Finland, and holding Euro 2016 fan favourites Iceland to a scoreless draw at home. A disappointing result in Northern Ireland brought the team back to reality, as the first fixture of the Euro 2020 qualifiers got off to the worst possible start through goals from Niall McGinn and Steven Davis’ penalty. When Estonia journeyed to Gibraltar, they came away with a tight victory thanks to a second half strike from Konstantin Vassiljev, however the reverse fixture versus Northern Ireland at the weekend proved to be yet another disappointment, as the visiting team ran out 2-1 victors after Vassiljev had given the home side a first half lead which was undone by two late goals from Conor Washington and Josh Magennis. It is unlikely, but in football there is always hope that something could happen. Estonia will be hoping that is the case in their search for a first win.
Germany have begun both of their first two Euro 2020 qualifying matches with three at the back, but have interchanged between five and four in midfielder, as well and switching between three and two up top. In this one, we can see them starting with three at the back, with a five man midfield to crowd out their opponents and two forwards. Manuel Neuer will probably retain his number one spot despite Ulreich taking Bernd Leno’s place in the squad as the Arsenal man picked up an injury.
Estonia utilized to different formations against Northern Ireland, starting with a 5-4-1 in the first game and changing to 4-1-4-1 in the second fixture. Both of these affairs ended negatively for the Estonians and we simply cannot see them giving Germany that much space. We can see Estonia beginning with five at the back again, but this time with a three man midfield in an attempt to supply their attackers with more of an opportunity to get on the front foot. There are no real injury concerns for Estonia ahead of this one.
Leroy Sane has netted in each of the past two Euro 2020 qualifiers for Germany, and we expect him to bag for a third on the bounce in this one, which you can bet on at 5/6 with Skybet. The Manchester City forward will be eager to impress after becoming out of favour in Pep Guardiola’s sides, and Low too has had his doubts of the young attacker. As well as that, we can see Sane outscoring Estonia, as it is unlikely that they will even get a single goal, and Skybet are offering odds of 13/10 for the former Schalke man to score more than his opponents.
Germany have amassed five goals in their two opening Euro 2020 qualifiers, and we can see them adding three more to that tally here with Bet365 having 5/1 for the World Cup winners of five years ago to run out 3-0 victors.
Sane to score at 5/6
Sane to outscore Estonia at 13/10
Germany to win 3-0 at 5/1