It’s a must win for Serbia after a very disappointing opening result. They’d have hoped for an easier task though, as they face a German side who impressed in their 3-1 win over Denmark.
Serbia will already be ruing their poor performance against Austria has they fell to a 2-0 defeat. Many had the Serbs marked out as a team that could go quite far in this tournament, down in no small part to Real Madrid’s big money signing: Luka Jovic. The former Frankfurt forward cut a frustrated figure in the tournament opener has he often looked to take on too much by himself as his team struggled to get a foothold in order to create him some goal scoring opportunities.
Germany were impressive in their win over Denmark, they looked dangerous and creative moving forward. Marco Richter was superb out on the left flank, the Augsburg man grabbed himself two goals and an assist as this talented squad flexed their muscles, particularly in the second half. Germany can all but guarantee their qualification with a win here, with how results go elsewhere they could be qualified by the time the game finishes.
Germany come in to this as firm favourites, I think their price of 1.5 to win is cracking value, they’re one of the stronger teams at the tournament and asides from a couple of players Serbia fail to match them man to man in terms of quality. Add in over 1.5 goals in to the mix and you can get odds of 1.8, this selection landed in Germany’s opening game and I can see it happening again. Serbia are out at 5.5 and sadly I don’t hold out much hope for them, their tournament looks like it may be over before it really started.
Arne Maier looks to be the only casualty for Germany from their opening victory, he came off at half-time and looks unlikely to make the starting eleven for this one. Germany’s squad is full of capable replacements and they’ve already show the level of talent they have. The strong sides in this tournament are set aside from the rest by the number of established first team players they have representing them. Jonathan Tah was one of the Bundesliga’s best centre backs last season, the man mountain plays his club football for Bayer Leverkusen. Maximilian Eggestein was one of the Bundesliga’s real break out talents, scoring five and assisting four this season for his club side Werder Bremen. Benjamin Henrichs got the nod at left back and I expect him to keep his place; him and Lukas Klostermann provided great support to the German midfield against Denmark which really allowed them to dominate. Gian-Luca Waldschmidt will lead the line again with Levin Ozuntali and Marco Rochter for support. Waldschmidt found the net in the opening game and I fancy him to repeat the feat here, he’s priced at 2.4 anytime. Richter is priced at 3.4 which looks like great value given how good he was last time out.
It’s no surprise to see Luka Jovic leading the way for a Serbian goal scorer. He’s priced at 3.1 to find the net at any time. I’d air on the side of caution with this one though, he’ll be carefully marshalled by a solid defensive unit and the service to him was poor against Austria. Vukasin Jovanovic is suspended after he was dismissed on match day one, he’ll likely be replaced by Srdjan Babic. There could be further changes given their poor start but that remains to be seen.
Serbia do have pockets of quality in their side but they lack the cohesion and overall strength of the Germans that is very apparent when you compare their opening results and also how they both actually performed. Serbia are heavily reliant on Zivkovic and Jovic in order to provide the spark to get them goals. I fancy Germany to go quite far in the whole tournament and they should be relatively comfortable in this one, a win here would possibly give them the opportunity to rotate in their final group game too so I expect a really strong showing. A Germany win and over 2.5 goals at a price of 2.2 looks like a great bet.
Germany win and over 1.5 goals @ 1.8
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt to score anytime @ 2.4
Germany to win to nil @ 2.7