Managerless Fulham will find it difficult to pick up a result in this match as Chelsea showed in midweek against Spurs they’ve possibly turned a corner.
Fulham v Chelsea
Sunday 3rd March, 14:05
English Premier League
The last thing Fulham fans want is to face a London Derby after they have sacked their manager, Claudio Ranieri, in midweek. Fulham have failed to beat Chelsea in eighteen attempts and look unlikely to buck that trend on Sunday. The home side are on a four match losing streak which has seen them go ten points adrift of Southampton who are in the closest non-relegation position in the league. Caretaker boss, Scott Parker will have his work cut out as his side have scored only once in the last four games.
Fulham’s shortcomings have came from a lack of scoring goals and an inability to keep them out. The home side only average less than a goal per game (0.93) and concede, on average, two per game (2.25). These are areas which Parker will need to address if he wishes to secure safety for this Fulham side.
Things don’t get much better when Fulham play at home. The cottagers still concede on average 2.00 goals per game and score just over one goal per game (1.31) and have lost six home matches and only won four in thirteen home games. Clean sheets have been few and far between, especially at home. Fulham have only picked up one clean sheet in thirteen home matches.
Chelsea come into this game joyous after picking up a win against bitter London rivals Spurs. Though squad issues which arose in the Carabao Cup final may not be behind them, Chelsea will hope to smooth over the cracks with another London derby win against Fulham at Craven Cottage.
As previously mentioned, Chelsea have not lost to Fulham in eighteen meetings and will believe they can keep that run going on Sunday. However they will need to keep their wits about them as their away form shows a dip in their performances as they have only lost once at home in fourteen matches but have lost five games away from home this season.
Chelsea’s dip in form comes from losing more goals than they score on average. Chelsea have averaged 1.54 goals conceded per game but have only scored 1.46 on average per game. The away side have only conceded nine goals at Stamford Bridge but have conceded twenty goals away from home this season.
Fulham will be glad that injuries haven’t added to their woes for this one. However they will still be without English defender Alfie Mawson through a knee injury which has kept him on the sidelines for most of the season.
Chelsea are still without Gary Cahill and Danny Drinkwater who have been ruled out to long term injuries, they have both made very few appearances this season. The Italian full-back, Davide Zappacosta has also been made a doubt for the game due to an illness.
I can’t see past a Chelsea win in this game. Despite Chelsea’s issues in recent weeks, they look capable of taking all three points against a woeful Fulham side who are devoid of hope. The bookies have made the away side strong favourites for this one as they have odds of 4/9 to pick up the win. Fulham have odds of 5/1 to pick up a shock win in this match.
In order to add value to a Chelsea win I would suggest considering the Asian handicap markets. For Chelsea to win -1 you can get odds of 7/5. I, personally, wouldn’t go any further than -1 but if you went to Chelsea to win -2 you can get odds of of 4/1.
Another market to consider in order to exploit Chelsea’s likely dominance in this match is the win to nil market. For Chelsea to win the game without Fulham getting on the scoresheet, you can get odds of 17/10.
Chelsea to win -1 (7/5)
Chelsea to win to nil (17/10)