The hosts are stuck in a bit of a rut currently and they face a side who are playing some of their best football this season. One thing is for sure; it should be entertaining.
Goals, goals and more goals
Statistically, you’ll struggle to find a top flight game that has the potential to feature as many goals as this one. In a league full of goals, Heerenveen top the charts; there has been an average of 4.3 goals in their games this campaign which is bordering on ridiculous. Feyenoord’s average sits at 3.44, which is also very high for a top flight European team. Neither of these sides have had a nil-nil this season and you can fully expect that trend to continue here. Heerenveen have seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their games, with 63% of Feyenoord’s games seeing that number too. Over 2.5 goals is at just 1.3 for this fixture, over 3.5 and over 4.5 is where the value sits at 1.85 and 3.0 respectively.
These two are in contrasting form of late but the goals still haven’t subsided. Heerenveen are in a real purple patch, they’ve lost just once in their last six games and travel to Rotterdam in supreme confidence despite being 11 points behind their illustrious opponents in the Eredivisie table. The hosts have won just three of their last 12 and have really slipped off the pace of the other sides at the top of the table, although a win here would draw them back to within a point of AZ Alkmaar in third.
Heerenveen are far from solid defensively, but my word can they attack too. There has been 25 goals in their last six games, 14 scored and 11 conceded. Sam Lammers and Michel Vlap are the serial scorers in the side with 14 goals apiece. Interestingly both have found more luck away from home; a fantastic omen for this trip. Lammers has scored 10 of his goals on the road with Vlap getting on the scoresheet eight times in away fixtures and Feyenoord will be very wary of the threat posed by the dynamic duo. The pair look a fantastic price for a goal – Lammers is at 3.4 anytime with Vlap out at 4.33.
Feyenoord have their own goal threats, primarily through veteran striker Robin Van Persie who has scored 15 times this season in the league and is the divisions third highest scorer. He’s the shortest odds for a goal at 1.67 anytime.
Feyenoord need to make home advantage count
After AZ Alkmaar drew on Tuesday night, the hosts can get back to within a point of them with a win here. Their recent form may be poor but Feyenoord are a force to be reckoned with at home. 70% of the sides points have come in front of their own fans and they have been beaten just twice there this season. Only Ajax and PSV have managed to score more goals at home and with Heerenveen’s shaky defence the hosts will be confident of doing some damage.
However, Heerenveen excel away from home. They have only won three home games this season which is worse than every side in the league bar FC Emmen. However they have the fourth best away record, having taken 22 points from 13 games. They have scored an incredible 35 goals on the road which is the highest in the league, they have impressively matched Ajax and beaten PSV in terms of scoring away from home which is a big feat in The Eredivisie. They also have the joint best defensive record on their travels. It looks like a tough task for both and I’m expecting sparks to fly. Feyenoord are strong favourites at 1.29, the draw is at 5.0 and Heerenveen are at the massive price of 8.0. With the visitors exceptional return on the road and high odds; double chance has excellent value at 3.25, draw no bet is all the way up at 7.0.
Over 3.5 goals @ 1.85
Sam Lammers to score anytime @ 3.4
Both teams to score @ 1.5
Heerenveen double chance @ 3.25