Group G is proving to be the most evenly matched qualification group so far with five teams separated by just five points. Israel sit in fifth place on eight points after recent away defeats to Poland and Slovenia – the group’s top two sides.
These sides have already met once this campaign with the Israeli’s coming out as 4-2 winners. They’ve got enough quality throughout their team to cause the in form Austrian’s some issue. Eran Zahavi and Munas Dabbur are a terrifying strike force and were responsible for all four goals last time as Zahavi claimed the match ball. Austria have shown themselves to be vulnerable in defence on a number of occasions and I think there’s real value in backing the visitors.
This is a huge clash for Wales. They could go level on points with their opponents if they manage to take all three points and really kick some life in to their campaign. They’ll take great confidence from beating Slovakia in the first qualification match; a tight affair saw the Welsh grind out a 1-0 win.
Defeats to Croatia and Hungary followed before a narrow win over Azerbaijan. However in the same time we’ve seen a very inconsistent string of performances from Slovakia, they cruised past Azerbaijan before being battered on home soil by Croatia and then last time out they squeezed past Hungary. Wales have every chance of winning this contest if their big guns can fire.
Before a narrow defeat to Italy; Finland had won four straight matches in group J and also kept an exceptional four clean sheets in a row. One of these games was a 2-0 win over Saturday’s opponents – Bosnia.
Bosnia have lost three of their last four qualifiers and have conceded 11 goals already in their six matches. Their only win in their last five was against the group whipping boys, Liechtenstein. Finland could’ve easily been priced at shorter odds for this one in my opinion.
This is a battle between two outfits who’ve had pretty torrid campaigns so far. Both sides sit bottom of the group without a win and having lost three of their five games thus far. Bulgaria have managed two more goals whilst also conceding two fewer. They showed glimpses of some quality against England and wee unlucky not to score. I think their results so far don’t tell the full story of their ability.
Montenegro have conceded nine goals in their three home games and have looked all at sea defensively. Whether Bulgaria have enough to take some points here is another matter but a price of 2.4 to just win a half looks excellent.
Cyprus have been somewhat of a surprise package so far. They sit joint third of group I having won their last match against San Marino. Prior to that they managed a point against their opponents in this one – Kazakhstan. They’ve scored 11 goals in their six matches. They’ve found the next against the likes of Scotland, Bulgaria and Slovenia in their away games that stretch back to the Nations League. They scored on their last trip to Kazakhstan and I can see them repeating the feat here against a defence that has shipped an average of 1.5 goals per game.