Spurs head to The Westfalenstadion with what looks like a comfortable three goal advantage, but is anything guaranteed in a tie like this?
Marco Reus was a huge miss in the first leg. He has scored 14 times for Dortmund this season and added a further seven assists. Other players have contributed more goals in terms of raw numbers, Sancho has 20 goal contributions and Paco Alcacer has scored 14 goals but Reus’s effect on the team as a whole is what makes him so valuable. Without him the German outfit struggled at Wembley, Gotze was tasked with playing through the middle in the first leg and he struggled to have much of an impact, as a player who prefers to come short all the time he was picked up quickly and harried out of the game. Whereas Reus is a nightmare for defenders, he can go in behind, drop short, run with the ball or pick a pass he is truly a master craftsman. Reus is expected to play from the left this evening as Paco Alcacer starts up front, Dortmund look to be going for maximum fire power to turn the tide.
The last time Spurs visited Dortmund they were beaten 3-0, Reus scored two that night and the Black Yellow will be dreaming of a repeat of that performance in order to give them a chance at qualification. Reus is second favourite for a goal tonight at a price of 2.63 anytime and 6.0 first.
In other team news Dele Alli looks unlikely to start due to a thigh problem, Pochettino is hoping for Eric Dier to recover from tonsillitis and Harry Winks from a hip injury so they can start in the midfield three after Victor Wanyama looked off the pace in the weekend’s North London derby. It looks likely that Serge Aurier will start at right back over Kieran Trippier after the Englishmen’s recent run of poor performances. Spurs will look again to Jan Vertonghen to play fullback in order to nullify the threat posed by Jadon Sancho, but Dortmund will be a problem down both flanks with the return of Reus and a start for the more attacking Guerreiro at left back.
Spurs travel to Germany at understandably short odds of just 1.04 to qualify after their 3-0 win in the first leg, the clean sheet may be particularly vital, as if Spurs goal that away goal could kill Dortmund’s chances regardless of how well they play. With The Premier League out of reach Tottenham will look to progression in this competition as a statement of their quality and a chance at a dream run to the final.
Dortmund have faced some struggles of late in the league, prior to a win against Leverkusen they drew three straight games, a disappointing loss to Augsburg at the weekend has seen them pegged back at the Bundesliga summit. They now only hold on to the top spot on goal difference. A fightback in this fixture would silence a lot of those who doubt the young teams ability to withstand pressure. A full comeback and qualification may be a big ask, but the players will want to at least make a good go at it and give Spurs something to think about it.
In reality, Spurs had to take a strong advantage in to the second leg due to Dortmund’s devastating home record. They have average 3.33 goals per game in front of their own fans in the league this campaign, they are unbeaten in 12 domestic home matches and have won 10 of those. Tottenham will be wary of Dortmund’s firepower, with 71% of the hosts games seeing over 2.5 goals this season. Spurs will not be content to just hold out, they will want to pose a threat going forward too, knowing that an away goal could effectively kill the tie before Dortmund can even get their teeth in to a comeback. Over 2.5 goals is available at a price of 1.57.
Marco Reus to score anytime @ 2.63
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.57
Dortmund win draw win and over 2.5 goals @ 2.63