Often a source of great frustration, Ligue 1 giants Marseille travel to lowly Dijon. But the result could be much closer than the reputation of these two sides would suggest.
Both teams come in to this game with almost identical form in their previous eight Ligue 1 Conforama matches. Each team has won two, drawn two and lost four. They have also both conceded 11 goals in that run, with Marseille edging an advantage on goals scored with nine to Dijon’s seven.
For a club the size of Marseille they have had some truly woeful results of late, they went out of the Coupe de la Ligue in December, then they also went out of the French Cup in the round of 64 to minnows Andrezieux. Since then their league form has followed suit, drawing at home to struggling Monaco and suffering defeats to St-Etienne, Reims and Lille. A 1-0 win over Bordeaux brings them in to Friday’s fixture, which they cannot afford to lose.
By comparison, Dijon are flying in the French Cup, which has provided a welcome distraction from their Ligue 1 exploits. But no length of cup run can save them from relegation, something that Les Rouges are in real danger of. They sit just two points above the relegation zone, with three teams ready to overtake them should they slip up and others take advantage. The home side have taken just 18 points this season from their 22 games, and their home form has only been very marginally better than their results on the road.
A draw could be a worthwhile selection, priced at 3.3.
Marseille are lucky to have Florian Thauvin, the former Newcastle forward has scored 11 times in the league this season and without him they would be left with little goalscoring threat, bar Dimitri Payet. Despite only Thauvin featuring in the leagues goal scoring charts, Marseille have a strong scoring record away from The Orange Velodrome. They have registered in each of their last six away games, furthermore they have scored in 83% of their away games this campaign. Of Thauvin’s 11 goals this season, seven have come on the road. He has suffered as part of Marseille’s poor run however, and hasn’t scored a league goal since the 5th of December. If you fancy him to break his baron spell, he is available at 5.0 first and 2.4 anytime. Or how about Marseille’s newest addition? the great enigma: Mario Balotelli. He’s played just 89 minutes for the club so far but he is off the mark already, he’s the bookies favourite for a goal, priced at 4.5 first and 2.2 anytime.
Dijon’s goalscoring record makes Marseille look like a rampant attacking outfit. No player has scored more than three goals this season for them, their main hope for a goal comes through Julio Tavares, who has only had 10 shots on target this campaign. In total, Dijon have scored just 19 goals in their 22 Ligue 1 matches this season.
With a win, Marseille could move level on points with St-Etienne in 4th. European football is a must for them this season, and with the league now their only focus, anything less will be unacceptable to the fans. Friday night is a prime opportunity to silence the critics, and reinstate themselves as competitors at the upper end of the table, rather than an ailing mid-table team. Marseille are available at 2.2 to get all 3 points.
Marseille draw no bet @ 1.5
Mario Balotelli to score anytime @ 2.2