A game of two sides chasing very different outcomes to their season but with Chesterfield on a good run and Sutton struggling, how will this game pan out?
These two have seen goals recently
For both scoring and conceding, both these sides have been rather busy recently. There has been 12 goals in Sutton’s last four games, for Chesterfield that figure is an astonishing 18. So we could be on for an absolute thriller here. Scott Boden has been slamming them in for Saturday’s hosts, he’s got five in four and will be a real threat again; and at a price of 2.6 anytime he looks like impeccable value, especially against a Sutton side who’ve been leaking goals of late.
However, this hasn’t been the story of the season for either side, so over 2.5 goals is actually priced relatively high at 2.1 and with the way each side is performing this could be a price really worth taking advantage of. Alternatively you could go the other way and back this to be more in line with these sides earlier games of the season and back under 2.5 goals at a price of 1.6.
Steady Chesterfield improvement
A slow ascent up the league has taken place since John Sheridan took over. The manager entered his second spell as manager after leaving League Two play-off chasers Carlisle United. They’re now up to 16th in the league and some fears of relegation have been eased, but not quite eradicated. The Spireites are eight points clear of the relegation places but will be wary that a couple of the teams immediately behind them have games in hand so their league position could suffer if Barnet and Boreham Wood can take advantage of their surplus fixtures.
The hosts improvement though has been more than just mathematical. Sheridan wants his sides to play in a very specific way, he’s a lover of good football and that ethos is beginning to engrain in his players work out on the pitch. Their improvement in goal scoring is another indicator of such a change and as long as the goals don’t rapidly dry up it’s hard to see them getting dragged back in to the relegation mire.
The opposite has been true for Sutton United, they’ve won just one of their last eight National League matches and have drifted out of the play-offs. Worryingly as well they have netted just six goals in those eight games. They have now slumped to 9th and four points outside the play-offs which doesn’t factor in that 7th placed Eastleigh have a game in hand, as do Harrogate in 6th and then Fylde in 5th have two games over Sutton.
Chesterfield are the favourites for this game at a price of 2.0 and going on form look the much better bet.
Side with the hosts
Whether it’s a result or goals you’re backing; the hosts are the sensible choice. Sutton have been in dire straights recently and have been really struggling to find the net. Nobody seems to be able to stop Chesterfield from scoring recently and I fully expect them to take advantage of a vulnerable Sutton side and possibly put all fear of a relegation battle behind them. A 2-0 home win could be an interesting bet at some longer odds of 8.0.
Scott Boden to score anytime @ 2.6
Chesterfield to win @ 2.0
Chesterfield corner match bet @ 1.4