Chelsea will fancy their chances against Dynamo Kiev at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are strong at home but their Ukrainian counterparts are yet to lose away from home in the Europa League and it won’t be an easy match for the London side.
Chelsea v Dynamo Kiev
Thursday 7th March, 20:00
At home in the Europa League, Chelsea are unbeaten in all four matches played at Stamford Bridge and will be confident about extending that run against Dynamo Kiev on Thursday. Despite issues surrounding squad harmony being made public during the EFL Cup final against Man City, Chelsea have been on a two game winning run having defeated Tottenham at home Fulham away. Chelsea are particularly strong at home as they have only lost twice in twenty-five home games in all competitions.
Chelsea’s home success comes from the amount of goals they score and the few goals they concede when playing at Stamford Bridge. On average, Chelsea score 2.00 goals per game when playing at home and concede an average of 0.64 goals per game. In the Europa League, Chelsea have scored eleven goals and only conceded four in seven matches .
Chelsea’s main source of goals in the Europa League has been Olivier Giroud who has made seven appearances and scored six goals in the competition. The Frenchman picked up at least one goal in each of his last five Europa League matches. Despite the addition of Gonzalo Higuain to the Chelsea squad in January, Olivier Giroud has carried on starting up front for Chelsea as he started in both legs against Malmo.
Dynamo Kiev marked their return to Ukrainian Premier League action with two wins in two games and have scored seven goals in those two matches. In the Europa League, Dynamo Kiev are currently unbeaten away from home.
Dynamo Kiev have scored thirteen goals in eight matches which is an average of 1.63 goals per game. In the Ukrainian Premier League, Dynamo Kiev have been able to stop teams from scoring against them. On average, Kiev concede 0.50 goals per game in the league. However in the Europa League this has not been the case as in eight matches they have conceded nine goals, which is an average of 1.13 goals conceded per game.
Chelsea may find it difficult against Dynamo Kiev as they have played better away from home in the Europa League. In four home matches, Dynamo Kiev have won twice lost once and drew once. Away from home they have picked up no losses, two wins and two draws. In those four away matches they have scored seven goals and conceded five.
Chelsea go into this match with most of their squad available for selection. Marco Van Ginkel and Danny Drinkwater are ruled out due to long term injuries. Dynamo Kiev will be without their Croatian defender Josip Pivaric as the player picked up a knee injury during his side’s winter break.
Also the away side will be without their Slovenian midfielder Benjamin Verbic who is suspended after picking up too many yellow cards. Verbic is currently the top goalscorer in the competition for Dynamo Kiev as the left winger has picked up three in the competition, he helped Dynamo Kiev progress to this round of the Europa League as he scored in the first leg of the last round against Olympiakos.
The bookies have made Chelsea 1/4 favourites to get a win over Dynamo Kiev in this Europa League clash. For Dynamo Kiev to get the win you can get odds of 11/1. I feel that Chelsea will be too strong for Dynamo Kiev at home, and will pick up a win against their Ukrainian opponents. To put together a worthwhile bet you should explore markets which add value to a Chelsea win.
The first betting market I would explore would be the both teams to score market. Dynamo Kiev have only failed to score in one Europa League match, and Chelsea have scored in each of their Europa League games played at home. For both teams to score you can get odds of 6/5. To enhance these odds, you can get 11/5 for Chelsea to win and both teams to score.
To eliminate the reliance on getting both teams on the scoresheet to win your bet, you should consider the over/under markets. For there to be 2.5 goals scored in the match, you can get odds of 13/20. You can get improved odds of 10/11 for Chelsea to win and 2.5 goals to be scored.
With Olivier Giroud being on a scoring streak in the Europa League, it would be worth exploring the anytime goalscorer markets. For Olivier Giroud to score anytime you can get odds of 11/10. You can have these odds improved further when you add a Chelsea win to this bet. For Chelsea to win and Olivier Giroud to score anytime you can get odds of 13/10.
Chelsea to win and both teams to score (11/5)
Olivier Giroud to score anytime and Chelsea to win (13/10)