Each week I will be posting my best EFL bets here on MyBetBuddy. I’ll be using a 1.0 to 5.0 staking plan alongside my recommended bets and keeping a track of the profit (hopefully) or loss as we go.
Current P/L = +1.55 units
The amount that you stake on each bet is entirely up to you, my advice is that the recommended stake should be a percentage of your overall betting bankroll; i.e. 1.0 is equivalent to 1% of your betting bankroll, 2.0 is 2%,…. 5.0 is 5%. My aim here is to make a profit in the long run, not every bet will be a winner, but with a sensible staking plan I am hopeful that we can be in the green at the end of the season.
I thought long and hard about going for Leeds to win to nil at odds of 2.5, but have gone for the safer option of tipping Marcelo Bielsa’s side on the -1.0 Asian Handicap.
Bielsa’s side have their eyes firmly set on automatic promotion and West Brom above them again, having ended a run of three games without a win by winning their last three outings on the bounce. The three consecutive wins have been supplemented by three clean sheets, winning each game 1-0, which is particularly impressive when you consider that they hadn’t had a defensive shut-out in 15 matches prior to their current run.
I fancy the handicap because although they’ve just been winning 1-0 in their impressive run, Leeds have been creating a lot of chances in those games. Across the wins against Middlesbrough, Reading and Bristol City they’ve managed a whopping 53 shots- an average of just under 18 a game- and anything like that against an out-of-sorts Hull side tomorrow could lead to a massacre.
Things look to finally be clicking for Gerhard Struber at Oakwell and I’ve got a feeling Barnsley’s good run of form will continue against a poor Reading side.
Barnsley have been on a similarly impressive run of form to my other pick Leeds, with the Tykes also winning their last three games to nil. Struber’s side followed an incredible 3-0 win over automatic promotion chasers Fulham with two 1-0 wins, against Hull and Middlesbrough respectively. This upsurge in form has been driven by Cauley Woodrow, with the big striker being involved in four of the five goals that have secured their three consecutive wins.
Compare this form and enthusiasm to the hosts and Draw No Bet seems very attractive. Mark Bowen’s men lost 3-0 at home to Wigan last time out, and Barnsley, on their current run, could easily post a similar score line at the Madejski. This game could prove to be a pivotal point in the season’s of the two sides, as a win for Barnsley and they could pull Reading right into the relegation dogfight.
I’m banking on this need to win and Barnsley’s brilliant form to pull them through against Reading, and going for Barnsley Draw No Bet at odds of 2.20.