Each week I will be posting my best EFL bets here on MyBetBuddy. I’ll be using a 1.0 to 5.0 staking plan alongside my recommended bets and keeping a track of the profit (hopefully) or loss as we go.
Current P/L = +1.80 units
The amount that you stake on each bet is entirely up to you, my advice is that the recommended stake should be a percentage of your overall betting bankroll; i.e. 1.0 is equivalent to 1% of your betting bankroll, 2.0 is 2%,…. 5.0 is 5%. My aim here is to make a profit in the long run, not every bet will be a winner, but with a sensible staking plan I am hopeful that we can be in the green at the end of the season.
The arrival of Scott Hogan at St Andrews has revitalised Pep Clotet’s side, with the Aston Villa loanee scoring three goals in four starts since his January move – a run that coincides with 10 points collected from a possible 12.
Perhaps the most impressive of those recent results was the recent 1-1 draw against a Brentford side that many are tipping for promotion this season. Lukas Jutkiewicz scored the goal in that game to take his tally for the season to 11.
By contrast, Sheffield Wednesday are in a real mess and are now without a win in six league matches. Steven Fletcher could return to the side this weekend, which would be a big boost for a team that are completely out of sorts without their target man – the Owls average 1.63 points per game when Fletcher plays, but just 0.73 per game when he doesn’t. But it is unlikely that he will be fit enough to play the whole game, and it’s a lot to expect him to come back after 6-7 weeks out and turn around a side in such turmoil.
I’m taking Birmingham to pick up all three points this Saturday at odds of 2.20.
I toyed with going for Sunderland to win to nil at odds of around 2.37 here, but settled on the safer option of backing the Black Cats on the -1.0 Asian Handicap.
Phil Parkinson’s side are back in the thick of a promotion challenge after a run of seven wins from their last nine moved them to within three points of the League One summit. During that period they’ve also managed seven clean sheets in their most recent eight matches and scored three or more in three of their last five games at the Stadium of Light.
The reason I have swerved the clean sheet market is because of the injury to defender Bailey Wright. The Australian has been a key figure in the heart of Sunderland’s backline since his arrival on loan from Bristol City. I don’t anticipate that his absence will have too much of an impact on the overall result – I actually expect Sunderland to rack up a few goals – but to be on the safe side I’ve taken the -1.0 Asian Handicap selection.