Each week I will be posting my best EFL bets here on MyBetBuddy. I’ll be using a 1.0 to 5.0 staking plan alongside my recommended bets and keeping a track of the profit (hopefully) or loss as we go.
Current P/L = +1.575 units
The amount that you stake on each bet is entirely up to you, my advice is that the recommended stake should be a percentage of your overall betting bankroll; i.e. 1.0 is equivalent to 1% of your betting bankroll, 2.0 is 2%,…. 5.0 is 5%. My aim here is to make a profit in the long run, not every bet will be a winner, but with a sensible staking plan I am hopeful that we can be in the green at the end of the season.
I’ve been really liking the look of Birmgham of late, particularly since they brought in Scott Hogan from rivals Aston Villa at the end of the January window.
The Irish striker has been in fine form since crossing the city divide, scoring six goals in his seven league games for the club. His partnership with Lukas Jutkiewicz has been a big reason why Pep Clotet’s Blues have kept their unbeaten run going, dating back to New Years Day, 12 games ago. On top of their tremendous league form, the Blues were only beaten 1-0 by a strong Leicester side in the FA Cup during the week.
The visitors Reading are at the complete other end of the form table, with Mark Bowen’s men currently mired not just in massive slump in form but are beginning to look nervously over their shoulder at the relegation places. The Royals have won just two of their last 10 league games and went all the way to extra time on Tuesday night before suffering a confidence-sapping defeat at the hands of Sheffield United in the FA Cup.
Birmingham’s impressive form, particularly when compared to Reading’s worrying recent results, and Reading’s weary squad makes Birmingham at 2.10 very appealing.
Morecambe’s price is really interesting for this one given they’ve pulled away from the relegation place in recent weeks.
The visitors come to Wales 10 points above bottom-placed Stevenage and in impressive form for a side who looked like it would be a long and hard season at the turn of the year. The visitors have only been beaten three times in their 11 outings since the first day of 2020 and can now look up the table rather than fearing the trap door out of the Football League.
The main reason I’ve opted for this bet, though, is Newport’s current situation. The Welsh side are in complete disarray, and their slump in form has resulted in massive pressure being put on manager Michael Flynn. Flynn has watched his side slump down the table after only one win in their last seven matches. Most worryingly for the Exiles and Flynn is the fact they’ve conceded nine times in their last two and don’t have the bodies in their squad to rectify the situation easily. Newport are mired in an injury crisis and a loss to Morecambe would further heap the pressure on Flynn, who openly admitted he was fighting for his job during the week.
Newport being in a complete mess makes Morecambe picking up all three points at 4.33 very tempting.