The return of Leonardo Jardim has put Monaco back on track recently. Lyon will be keen to put their last away defeat against Nice and reduce the gap between them and Lille in second spot.
Monaco v Lyon
Sunday 24th February, 20:00
Stade Louis II
With Leonardo Jardim back at the helm, Monaco have enjoyed a mini revival in the league. Monaco are unbeaten in the three matches that their Portuguese manager has taken control of. The return of Jardim has seen them distance themselves from the teams in the relegation positions. In this match, Monaco can move further away and cut the distance between them and Toulouse in fifteenth.
Looking at the past form of the home side shows just how woeful they have been this season. Monaco have only won twice at home this season and lost seven in thirteen home games. Away from home, Monaco haven’t fared much better, only winning three and lost six in twelve away matches. A lack of goals has been Monaco’s issue at home and away this season as Monaco have only scored on average 0.92 goals per home game this season. Along with the rate in which they concede goals it is no real shock as to why Monaco have been in dire straits this season. On average Monaco concede 1.64 goals per game this season, this average increases to 1.85 goals per game when they play at home.
Another contributing reason to Monaco’s low league position this season is their inability to take control of games from the off. 46% of Monaco’s home matches has seen the side being beaten at half time, which means they are often tasked with overturning a deficit in the second half of their home games.
The away side go into this game after earning a draw against European giants Barcelona and will be confident of picking up a win against a rejuvenated Monaco side. As the game against Monaco kicks off late on the Sunday, Lille get the chance to pull away from Lyon and put pressure on the side to get an away victory against Monaco.
Lyon have been on a roll away from home recently despite the 1-0 loss to Nice last time out. The away side have picked up four wins and drew three in their last eight away games. Lyon have enjoyed playing away games this season as they have only lost three times in twelve matches. An issue they have encountered playing away is conceding goals. Lyon have only picked up two clean sheets in twelve matches. On average they concede at least 1.50 goals per game away from home this season, but they have only managed to score 1.58 goals per game. Lyon have only failed to score on three occasions.
The defender, Jemerson, will miss the Lyon match due to the picking up a red card in the last match against Montpellier. William Vainqueur will also miss out on this one due to an injury to his calf. Monaco have been rocked by injury this season with several of their players being ruled out long term. Jovetic, Chadli, Raggi and Geubbels have been unavailable for large chunks of this season due to their injuries.
Amine Gouiri remains unavailable to Lyon due to rupturing his cruciate ligaments which has kept him out of action all season.
For the clash between the two southern French sides, Lyon have been made favourites with odds of 11/10. For Monaco to continue their revival under Jardim, they have been given a price of 9/4. I feel that this match would be a tough one for Monaco to be victorious in and with Lyon in good form I can’t see past an away win.
I do however believe that Monaco will manage to score in the match so I would recommend a Lyon to win and both teams to score bet which gets odds of 13/5. It may be worthwhile backing a Lyon and over 2.5 goals at 15/8, so that their is less reliance on goals coming from both parties.
Lyon to win (9/4)
Lyon to win and Over 2.5 Goals (15/8)